This is my daily advice on floating or locking your Delaware Mortgage Rate for Wednesday, October 8, 2008.

The Federal Reserve cut the Fed Funds Rate by 0.5% in conjunction with other World Banks.  This has set the market into wild trading with the Dow swinging from 300 points down to 170 points up to back down to back up and will probably continue the rest of the day. The mortgage-backed securities have also been swinging from positive to negative in response to the market.

The bond is still trading above the 25-day moving average and keeps bouncing off it every time it trades down so I am recommending you Float your Delaware Mortgage Rate for today. Keep Reading...

This is my daily advice on floating or locking your Delaware Mortgage Rate for Thursday, September 4, 2008.

Jobless Claims came in worse which is good news for mortgage bonds.  Mortgage Backed Securities are trading much higher today and have broken through the 200 days moving average.  If you have been floating then you will see better rates today than yesterday. There could be some profit taking but if close above 200 days moving average today and again tomorrow that would be very significant because that would set a new floor of support at the 200 days moving average. Keep Reading...

This is my advice on floating or locking your Delaware Mortgage Rate for Wednesday, September 3, 2008.

There isn’t much-scheduled news to be released today. Bonds started off trading lower but have recovered to be even with the close from yesterday. Oil is continuing its downward spiral as it trades lower on stronger dollar and fear of demand easing. Stocks are trying to move higher but are stalled.

I am recommending FLOATING your Delaware Mortgage Rate as we continue to stay above the 100-day moving average. If you are closing in the next week then stay alert as there could be a short term pullback in bonds. Keep Reading...

This is my daily advice on floating or locking your Delaware Mortgage Rate for Tuesday, September 2, 2008.

Stocks have rallied today on the news that Oil prices have retreated to below $110 a barrel on news of hurricane Gustav not doing very much damage. The rally in stocks has taken some money out of bonds but the rallied stalled on the news that ISM report came out weaker than expected.  This is moving money back into bonds and we could see a nice bounce back in the mortgage-backed securities. For more information on the ISM report visit http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080902/economy.html Keep Reading...

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT:  The second quarter GDP growth was revised upward to an annual rate of +3.3% from the earlier estimate of +1.9%. This was surprising.  Much of the gain was due to rising exports and falling imports, both due to the weakened dollar. In addition, consumer spending for the quarter was a robust +1.7%, partly due to the tax rebate payments. The tax rebates have ended and the dollar is strengthening.

The Economist is predicting annual GDP growth in 2008 of 0.8%. For 2009, it predicts 1.1% annual growth. T. Rowe Price economists predict GDP growth of 1.8% for 2008 and 1.5% in 2009. It is difficult to find economists predicting a bright rest of 2008 or 2009. (Caveat: See many of my earlier statements on economist predictions and The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb.)

MARKET REACTIONS: 

The markets seemed suspicious of the GDP report; not willing to bet on continued strong growth without the federal stimulus payments. The Dow Jones Industrials were down 0.72% (down 12.98% for the year) and the S & P 500 was similarly down 0.72% (down 12.64% for the year). Keep Reading...

This is my advice on floating or locking your Delaware Mortgage Rate for Friday, August 29, 2008.

The Core PCE rose by 0.3% higher than we would have liked to see. This is an indication of inflation which is typically bad news for mortgage-backed securities. Income fell by 0.7%, yet spending managed to increase by 0.2%. For more information visit July Income Drop

We had 4 straight days of gains and the technicals are suggesting we might experience a pullback. Bonds are already trading lower than yesterday and have fallen through the 100-day moving average. Keep Reading...

This is my daily advice on whether to float or lock your Delaware Mortgage Rate for Wednesday, August 27, 2008.

The market received better than expected news when the durable goods report came out much better than expected. This news should have been mortgage bond unfriendly and pushed rates higher but the bond market held its ground.  Also, stocks are being boosted today by a speech from Federal Chairman Lockhart who same inflation was tame.  Even with stocks pushing higher bonds are maintaining the gains they have gotten. This shows a strong resistance and looks like bonds could move higher. Keep Reading...